Jaro 1-3 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 8 Aug 2026

Jaro
1-3 HT 1-2
VPS
📅08/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
27%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.61
1/2
7%
24.2
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
8%
8.34
X/2
23%
4.37
X/X
14%
4.81
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.46
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.3pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 55%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +18%
1.40/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.10
+4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
251 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.6
20.0 Crosses 26.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
2W-4D-0L
AWAY VPS
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.37 xG 1.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 Passes 363
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2026 VPS VPS 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
14.02.2026 Jaro Jaro 1-0 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FLK
18.10.2025 VPS VPS 1-3 HT 1-2 Jaro Jaro FİN
25.07.2025 Jaro Jaro 2-2 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
11.06.2025 Jaro Jaro 2-2 HT 1-2 VPS VPS FİK
17.05.2025 VPS VPS 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
1-3
AWAY VPS
2.45 xG 2.68
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
320 Passes 364
14 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jaro vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS saw off Jaro 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had VPS as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.45 to 2.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jaro had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jaro and 0.83 for VPS.

What was the final score of Jaro vs VPS?

Jaro 1-3 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated an VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Jaro 26%, draw 25%, VPS 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VPS), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (VPS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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