Mamelodi Sundowns 3-2 Polokwane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-0.4pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.18/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.71
-11% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 69%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
18.0 Crosses 17.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Polokwane City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.29 xG 0.87
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
538 Passes 159
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
27 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2026 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
29.04.2026 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
06.11.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
27.10.2024 Polokwane City Polokwane City 1-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
11.08.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAF8K
30.12.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
3-2
AWAY Polokwane City
1.93 xG 1.67
30 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
863 Passes 122
32 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Mamelodi Sundowns edged past Polokwane City 3-2 in the South Afrika - Cup on 8 Aug 2026. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, shots finished 30-14, expected goals 1.93 to 1.67.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.17 for Polokwane City.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?

Mamelodi Sundowns 3-2 Polokwane City in the South Afrika - Cup on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 65%, draw 21%, Polokwane City 14%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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