Linfield FC 0-3 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.02
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
17%
4.05
X/2
7%
10.6
X/X
11%
5.48
2/1
11%
22.9
2/2
9%
8.69
2/X
5%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
2.26/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.83
+10% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
31.01.2026 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
28.01.2026 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRLK
25.10.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
16.09.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
07.02.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-2 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
09.11.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United swept aside Linfield FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Linfield FC carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Linfield FC and 0.83 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Ballymena United?

Linfield FC 0-3 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 55%, draw 23%, Ballymena United 21%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Linfield FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ BTTS No
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