Linfield FC 2-1 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
10%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
7%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 28% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.7
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
19.7
X/1
19%
3.71
X/2
2%
14.9
X/X
9%
6.21
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
5%
13.5
2/X
6%
22.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
67%
+4.4pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.9pp
10%
Away Win
13%
-3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.5pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 16%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
2.11/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.93
+5% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +18%
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
28.01.2026 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRLK
25.10.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
16.09.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
07.02.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-2 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
09.11.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
10.08.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC squeezed past Ballymena United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Linfield FC and 0.67 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Ballymena United?

Linfield FC 2-1 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 71%, draw 19%, Ballymena United 10%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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