Crusaders FC 2-4 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.34
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
61%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
10.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.3
1/X
6%
19.35
X/1
9%
12.8
X/2
23%
4.01
X/X
10%
6.99
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
27%
1.79
2/X
4%
17.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.3 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.6pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
61%
Away Win
64%
-3.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 69%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
0.53/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.60
-47% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +61%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Larne FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
20.12.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
16.09.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
05.04.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
08.02.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
07.01.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
19.10.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC saw off Crusaders FC 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.83 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Larne FC?

Crusaders FC 2-4 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 19%, draw 20%, Larne FC 61%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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