Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tepatitlán de Morelos v CA La Paz — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
CA La Paz
MEK2
Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-5 CA La Paz — Actual Match Statistics
CA La Paz ran out comfortable winners over Tepatitlán de Morelos 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Tepatitlán de Morelos at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, shots finished 10-21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.17 for CA La Paz.
What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz?
Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-5 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 48%, draw 27%, CA La Paz 25%. The final score 0-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.