Nancy 1-2 Paris 13 Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.35
X/1
16%
3.65
X/2 EV+ ✓
12%
10.75
X/X
12%
4.68
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
9%
9.26
2/X
5%
17.45
Value flag · X/2 at 10.75 — our 12% vs market 6.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 20%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.37/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.22
-24% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2023 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 2-2 HT 1-1 Nancy Nancy FR3
02.12.2022 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 1-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
1-2
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
62% Ball Possession 38%
26 Total Shots 4
15 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Paris 13 Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris 13 Atletico squeezed past Nancy 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nancy at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nancy had 62% of the ball to Paris 13 Atletico's 38%, shots finished 26-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nancy had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nancy and 1.00 for Paris 13 Atletico.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Nancy 1-2 Paris 13 Atletico in the France - National League 1 on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nancy 51%, draw 23%, Paris 13 Atletico 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nancy) ✗ BTTS No
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