Empoli 1-0 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Nov 2025

Empoli
1-0 HT 0-0
Catanzaro
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Empoli vs Catanzaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.85
No
41%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.23
6+ Goals
11%
21.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.23 — our 24% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.64
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
12%
5.48
X/2
10%
6.33
X/X
17%
3.92
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
13%
4.56
2/X
9%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
50%
+8.9pp
41%
BTTS No
50%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Empoli v Catanzaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.68/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.51
+24% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.1 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Empoli vs Catanzaro Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Catanzaro
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.72 xG 0.43
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
415 Passes 303
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Empoli Empoli 4-1 HT 1-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTK
02.05.2005 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-3 HT 1-1 Empoli Empoli İTB
26.11.2004 Empoli Empoli 2-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB

Empoli 1-0 Catanzaro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
1-0
AWAY Catanzaro
1.20 xG 0.18
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
194 Passes 495
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli squeezed past Catanzaro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Empoli found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Empoli had 32% of the ball to Catanzaro's 68%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.20 to 0.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Empoli and 1.00 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Catanzaro?

Empoli 1-0 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Empoli 38%, draw 31%, Catanzaro 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Empoli) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Empoli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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