Mantova vs Padova Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mantova v Padova Calcio — Team-Based Signals
Mantova vs Padova Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Padova Calcio
İTC
1-3
HT 1-1
Padova Calcio
İTC
1-1
HT 1-1
Mantova
İTC
1-0
HT 0-0
Mantova
İTC
1-1
HT 0-0
Padova Calcio
İTC
Mantova 1-0 Padova Calcio — Actual Match Statistics
Mantova squeezed past Padova Calcio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Mantova as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Mantova had 64% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 36%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.11 to 0.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mantova and 1.17 for Padova Calcio.
What was the final score of Mantova vs Padova Calcio?
Mantova 1-0 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mantova vs Padova Calcio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mantova 49%, draw 25%, Padova Calcio 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mantova), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.