Venezia 3-1 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Nov 2025

Venezia
3-1 HT 2-0
Sampdoria
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Venezia vs Sampdoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.03
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 28% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
2.11
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
12%
4.04
X/2
5%
10.4
X/X
8%
5.06
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
9%
8.86
2/X
7%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
57%
+3.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezia v Sampdoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.88/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.38
+29% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.6 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Venezia vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sampdoria
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.68 xG 1.29
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
367 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.01.2024 Venezia Venezia 5-3 HT 2-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
30.08.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-2 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
20.03.2022 Venezia Venezia 0-2 HT 0-2 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
19.12.2021 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
17.01.2003 Sampdoria Sampdoria 4-0 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
18.12.2000 Venezia Venezia 2-2 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB

Venezia 3-1 Sampdoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
3-1
AWAY Sampdoria
1.34 xG 0.46
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
376 Passes 245
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia saw off Sampdoria 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Venezia as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Venezia had 56% of the ball to Sampdoria's 44%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.34 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Venezia and 2.17 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Sampdoria?

Venezia 3-1 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Venezia 61%, draw 21%, Sampdoria 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✗ BTTS No
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