Frosinone 2-2 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.07
6+ Goals
10%
19.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 32% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.45
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
9%
6.25
X/2
17%
5.49
X/X
16%
4.06
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.63
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.47/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.10
+33% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
18.8 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Modena
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.04 xG 0.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
274 Passes 376
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
27.08.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 1-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
14.01.2023 Frosinone Frosinone 2-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
14.08.2022 Modena Modena 0-1 HT 0-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
07.03.2015 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
18.10.2014 Frosinone Frosinone 2-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
2-2
AWAY Modena
0.45 xG 2.43
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
190 Passes 311
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 37
16 Crosses 44
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone and Modena couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Modena at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Frosinone had 41% of the ball to Modena's 59%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.45 to 2.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Frosinone and 0.67 for Modena.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Modena?

Frosinone 2-2 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 31%, draw 28%, Modena 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
8 Nov 2025
17:00 Empoli vs Catanzaro Analysis →
17:00 Mantova vs Padova Calcio Analysis →
17:00 Reggiana vs Virtus Entella Analysis →
17:00 Südtirol vs Carrarese Analysis →
19:15 Juve Stabia vs Palermo Analysis →
21:30 Venezia vs Sampdoria Analysis →