Südtirol 1-1 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.17
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
12%
4.96
X/2
9%
6.95
X/X
19%
4.0
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
12%
5.35
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.68/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.55
+38% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
20.5 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Carrarese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.76 xG 1.43
45% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
248 Passes 306
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
16.03.2025 Südtirol Südtirol 2-2 HT 0-1 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
27.08.2024 Carrarese Carrarese 2-0 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
1-1
AWAY Carrarese
0.23 xG 2.90
24% Ball Possession 76%
7 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 10
114 Passes 517
59% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 50
9 Crosses 49
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol and Carrarese shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Südtirol at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Südtirol had 24% of the ball to Carrarese's 76%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 0.23 to 2.90.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Carrarese led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Südtirol and 2.00 for Carrarese.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Carrarese?

Südtirol 1-1 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 43%, draw 31%, Carrarese 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Südtirol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Südtirol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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