Modena 1-1 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 18 Jan 2025

Modena
1-1 HT 1-0
Frosinone
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Modena vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
5.07
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.88
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
17%
4.4
X/2
7%
7.34
X/X
12%
3.73
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
12%
6.31
2/X
6%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Modena v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.25/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.35
-13% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.8 Crosses 18.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2

Modena vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Frosinone
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 Passes 299
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.08.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 1-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
14.01.2023 Frosinone Frosinone 2-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
14.08.2022 Modena Modena 0-1 HT 0-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
07.03.2015 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
18.10.2014 Frosinone Frosinone 2-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
12.03.2011 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB

Modena 1-1 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
1-1
AWAY Frosinone
0.88 xG 0.58
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
516 Passes 197
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
43 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Modena vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena and Frosinone couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Modena at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Modena had 69% of the ball to Frosinone's 31%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 0.88 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Modena and 1.17 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Modena vs Frosinone?

Modena 1-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Modena 50%, draw 25%, Frosinone 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Modena), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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