FC Bari 1908 2-2 Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 36% vs market 31.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.8
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
16%
4.67
X/2
12%
7.74
X/X
17%
3.89
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
11%
6.21
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Brescia EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.33
-16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
22.8 Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Brescia
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.39 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 348
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
10.05.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
29.10.2023 Brescia Brescia 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
25.02.2023 Brescia Brescia 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
01.10.2022 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 6-2 HT 3-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
24.03.2018 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 3-0 HT 2-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
2-2
AWAY Brescia
2.98 xG 0.89
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
268 Passes 169
76% Pass Accuracy 61%
26 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 and Brescia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Bari 1908 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 57% of the ball to Brescia's 43%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.98 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.67 for Brescia.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Brescia?

FC Bari 1908 2-2 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 42%, draw 30%, Brescia 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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