Salernitana 2-1 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.41
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.62
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.35
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
12.6
X/1
17%
5.08
X/2
14%
6.67
X/X
13%
3.64
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
12%
5.14
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.32/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.95
+14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
22.4 Crosses 16.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salernitana
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Reggiana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.05 xG 0.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
276 Passes 348
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 0-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
26.02.2021 Reggiana Reggiana 0-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
2-1
AWAY Reggiana
1.98 xG 1.07
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
396 Passes 254
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana nicked a narrow win over Reggiana 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Salernitana made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salernitana had 59% of the ball to Reggiana's 41%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.98 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Salernitana and 0.00 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Reggiana?

Salernitana 2-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 37%, draw 30%, Reggiana 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salernitana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salernitana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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