Cittadella 1-2 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.85
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
11%
4.81
X/2
12%
7.44
X/X
13%
4.2
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
15%
5.66
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.30/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.37
-4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
23.4 Crosses 14.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Mantova
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.63 xG 2.35
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
227 Passes 413
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 15
35 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Mantova Mantova 1-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
24.04.2010 Cittadella Cittadella 6-0 HT 4-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
30.11.2009 Mantova Mantova 1-3 HT 1-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
14.02.2009 Mantova Mantova 2-1 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
19.09.2008 Cittadella Cittadella 0-2 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
1-2
AWAY Mantova
0.97 xG 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
284 Passes 380
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 15
38 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova edged past Cittadella 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Mantova made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cittadella had 46% of the ball to Mantova's 54%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 0.97 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mantova led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cittadella and 1.20 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Mantova?

Cittadella 1-2 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 38%, draw 28%, Mantova 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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