Cremonese 3-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.84
6+ Goals
9%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 30% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.02
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
16%
3.93
X/2
7%
11.0
X/X
9%
4.81
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
9.72
2/X
8%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.63/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.48
-25% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
25.7 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.24 xG 1.29
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
374 Passes 271
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
14.01.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 1-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
26.09.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-2 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
18.04.2022 Cremonese Cremonese 3-1 HT 3-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
04.12.2021 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-2 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
05.04.2021 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-1 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
3-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
2.58 xG 0.52
65% Ball Possession 35%
29 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 1
356 Passes 179
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
39 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese got the better of Cosenza Calcio 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cremonese as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cremonese had 65% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 35%, shots finished 29-9, expected goals 2.58 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cremonese had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cremonese and 0.50 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Cosenza Calcio?

Cremonese 3-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 51%, draw 25%, Cosenza Calcio 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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