Connahs Quay 4-0 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.98
6+ Goals
8%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +24%
1.61/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.15
-4% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Penybont
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Penybont Penybont 0-1 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
04.01.2025 Penybont Penybont 1-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
15.09.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-1 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
13.01.2024 Penybont Penybont 0-1 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
30.09.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 4-2 HT 2-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
15.04.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-0 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay swept aside Penybont 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.67 for Penybont.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Penybont?

Connahs Quay 4-0 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 43%, draw 28%, Penybont 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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