Caernarfon Town 2-2 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
17%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.28
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
14%
8.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
33%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
56%
+5.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
17%
Away Win
21%
-3.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.7pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 24%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.53/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.41
-12% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caernarfon Town
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
30.08.2025 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 1-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
18.05.2025 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 3-1 HT 2-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
29.03.2025 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 0-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
08.02.2025 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
26.10.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-0 HT 0-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
17.08.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Caernarfon Town vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Caernarfon Town carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Caernarfon Town and 1.33 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Caernarfon Town 2-2 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 62%, draw 21%, Haverfordwest County 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caernarfon Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caernarfon Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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