FK Panevezys 3-1 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
55%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
55%
Away Win
50%
+4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 55%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.03/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.56
-11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -49%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
297 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
31.08.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
29.06.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-4 HT 2-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
25.04.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 HT 2-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
03.11.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-4 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
11.08.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
16.06.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys got the better of Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zalgiris Vilnius at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FK Panevezys and 2.00 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

FK Panevezys 3-1 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 24%, draw 21%, Zalgiris Vilnius 55%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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