Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.7pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 26%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.65/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.99
-56% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Panevezys
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-4 HT 2-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
25.04.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 HT 2-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
03.11.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-4 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
11.08.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
16.06.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
14.04.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
2-1
AWAY FK Panevezys
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius nicked a narrow win over FK Panevezys 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 56% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 44%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.83 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys?

Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 48%, draw 24%, FK Panevezys 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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