Avellino 1-0 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
17.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +23%
1.53/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.04
-13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +44%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2024 Avellino Avellino 0-1 HT 0-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
21.09.2023 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
1-0
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino squeezed past Sorrento Calcio 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Avellino had 42% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 58%, shots finished 12-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Avellino and 0.50 for Sorrento Calcio.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Sorrento Calcio?

Avellino 1-0 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Avellino 59%, draw 24%, Sorrento Calcio 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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