Hampton & Richmond 2-1 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 30% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +30%
1.44/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.09
-21% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +54%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
442 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hampton & Richmond
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
10.04.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
13.09.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-0 HT 1-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
26.02.2022 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
23.10.2021 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
01.12.2020 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hampton & Richmond
2-1
AWAY Chippenham Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hampton & Richmond vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hampton & Richmond edged past Chippenham Town 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hampton & Richmond as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hampton & Richmond had 50% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 50%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hampton & Richmond had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hampton & Richmond and 0.67 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Hampton & Richmond vs Chippenham Town?

Hampton & Richmond 2-1 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hampton & Richmond vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hampton & Richmond win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hampton & Richmond 48%, draw 26%, Chippenham Town 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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