Crotone 3-2 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.3
6+ Goals
12%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.5pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.0pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +19%
1.68/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.55
-3% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
4W-0D-1L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-3 HT 1-3 Crotone Crotone İTC
02.03.2024 Crotone Crotone 2-3 HT 2-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
25.10.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-2 HT 1-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
23.04.2023 Crotone Crotone 3-1 HT 2-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
18.12.2022 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 2-3 HT 1-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
3-2
AWAY SSC Giugliano
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crotone vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone edged past SSC Giugliano 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Crotone had 55% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 45%, shots finished 7-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Crotone had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Crotone and 1.60 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of Crotone vs SSC Giugliano?

Crotone 3-2 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Crotone 55%, draw 21%, SSC Giugliano 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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