Maribor 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.44
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.34
6+ Goals
6%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 34% vs market 33.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.8pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.45/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.42
+26% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
25.08.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-1 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
11.05.2024 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
17.04.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-2 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
03.12.2023 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 3-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
16.09.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
1-0
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor edged past Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Maribor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Maribor had 57% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 43%, shots finished 8-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Maribor and 1.00 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Maribor 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maribor 32%, draw 27%, Olimpija Ljubljana 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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