Tijuana vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tijuana v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tijuana 1-2 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics
Santos Laguna squeezed past Tijuana 2-1 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Tijuana carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (57%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 53% to 47% in Tijuana's favour, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 0.92 to 2.92 — on chances created, Santos Laguna won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Tijuana against 1.50 for Santos Laguna.
Tijuana vs Santos Laguna Result & Final Score
Tijuana 1 - 2 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tijuana vs Santos Laguna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 62%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 16%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tijuana) went the other way.