Santos Laguna 0-4 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.89
Over 2.5
52%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.35
No
47%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
6.49
2-3 Goals
35%
2.14
4-5 Goals
25%
2.41
6+ Goals
13%
4.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
31%
+16.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
69%
-16.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
70%
-17.3pp
47%
BTTS No
30%
+17.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.44/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.59
+0% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.6 Crosses 11.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tijuana
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.63 xG 1.82
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
308 Passes 332
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 3-1 HT 2-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
16.03.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 2-2 HT 0-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
05.10.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-1 HT 1-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
13.03.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-2 HT 1-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
26.08.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 0-2 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
14.03.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 4-0 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
0-4
AWAY Tijuana
0.63 xG 1.31
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
427 Passes 265
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tijuana cruised past Santos Laguna 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Tijuana made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 58% of the ball to Tijuana's 42%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.63 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.33 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Tijuana?

Santos Laguna 0-4 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos Laguna win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 38%, draw 28%, Tijuana 34%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Santos Laguna), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos Laguna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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