FC Juarez 0-2 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 30% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +21%
1.55/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.57
-9% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
22.3 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Juarez
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Queretaro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.16 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
307 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
16.03.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
06.11.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-3 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
20.03.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
16.07.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 1-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
01.05.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Juarez
0-2
AWAY Queretaro
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
414 Passes 327
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH FC Juarez vs Queretaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queretaro beat FC Juarez 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was FC Juarez at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Juarez had 55% of the ball to Queretaro's 45%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queretaro led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Juarez and 2.00 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Queretaro?

FC Juarez 0-2 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Juarez win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 51%, draw 26%, Queretaro 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Juarez) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Juarez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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