Atletico San Luis 2-1 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.61
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.64
2-3 Goals
39%
2.03
4-5 Goals
29%
2.51
6+ Goals
11%
5.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.8pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 56%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.05/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.99
+22% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
14.8 Crosses 17.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Pachuca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.98 xG 1.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
304 Passes 366
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
18.03.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-1 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
29.08.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
23.04.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
19.09.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-2 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
15.05.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 3-2 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
2-1
AWAY Pachuca
1.17 xG 3.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 25
7 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
298 Passes 350
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis squeezed past Pachuca 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pachuca at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 46% of the ball to Pachuca's 54%, shots finished 12-25, expected goals 1.17 to 3.34 — on chances, Pachuca could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.67 for Pachuca.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca?

Atletico San Luis 2-1 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 32%, draw 22%, Pachuca 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pachuca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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