Leon vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Leon
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
Monterrey
MEK
5-1
HT 3-0
Leon
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Monterrey
MEK
Leon 0-2 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey saw off Leon 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Monterrey made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Leon had 43% of the ball to Monterrey's 57%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.65 to 0.35.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leon and 1.83 for Monterrey.
What was the final score of Leon vs Monterrey?
Leon 0-2 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs Monterrey?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leon 38%, draw 27%, Monterrey 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.