Santos Laguna vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos Laguna v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals
Santos Laguna vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Tijuana
MEK
3-2
HT 1-1
Tijuana
MEK
0-2
HT 0-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
Santos Laguna 1-0 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics
Santos Laguna squeezed past Tijuana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Tijuana at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santos Laguna had 47% of the ball to Tijuana's 53%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.46 to 2.06 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tijuana.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Santos Laguna and 2.00 for Tijuana.
What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Tijuana?
Santos Laguna 1-0 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Tijuana?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 28%, draw 27%, Tijuana 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.