Cruz Azul vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-0
Queretaro
MEK
2-2
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Queretaro
MEK
Cruz Azul 2-2 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul and Queretaro shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
This one beat our numbers. Cruz Azul carried 70% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 80% of the ball to Queretaro's 20%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 1.73 to 0.55.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.17 for Queretaro.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Queretaro?
Cruz Azul 2-2 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Queretaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 70%, draw 16%, Queretaro 14%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Cruz Azul) went the other way.