Tigres UANL 2-0 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.65
6+ Goals
10%
6.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
15%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-3.3pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.2pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.74/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.70
-5% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
24.5 Crosses 12.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atlas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.30 xG 1.04
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
439 Passes 253
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.02.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 1-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
13.07.2024 Atlas Atlas 1-1 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
25.02.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-1 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
18.09.2023 Atlas Atlas 2-0 HT 2-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
19.02.2023 Atlas Atlas 0-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
24.07.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-0 HT 2-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
2-0
AWAY Atlas
2.01 xG 0.35
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
443 Passes 273
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL got the better of Atlas 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 60% of the ball to Atlas's 40%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.01 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.83 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Atlas?

Tigres UANL 2-0 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 65%, draw 19%, Atlas 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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