Atletico San Luis 0-1 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
57%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
9.41
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.96 — our 29% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
58%
Away Win
54%
+3.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 58%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.01/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.09
+14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
16.0 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Club America
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.20 xG 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
418 Passes 460
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.01.2025 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
07.07.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-1 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
30.03.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
10.12.2023 Club America Club America 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
07.12.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-5 HT 0-2 Club America Club America MEK
02.11.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-1 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
0-1
AWAY Club America
0.34 xG 0.63
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
329 Passes 361
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America edged past Atletico San Luis 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 48% of the ball to Club America's 52%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.34 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico San Luis and 2.00 for Club America.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Club America?

Atletico San Luis 0-1 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 22%, draw 21%, Club America 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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