Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 27% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Olimpija Ljubljana win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.80/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.08
-16% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Koper
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.02.2025 Koper Koper 1-2 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
06.10.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-1 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
28.07.2024 Koper Koper 0-1 HT 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
30.03.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 3-2 HT 2-0 Koper Koper SLVN
07.03.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-4 HT 2-2 Koper Koper SLVNK
10.12.2023 Koper Koper 2-4 HT 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
1-1
AWAY Koper
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana and Koper couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Olimpija Ljubljana at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 49% of the ball to Koper's 51%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.67 for Koper.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper?

Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 55%, draw 23%, Koper 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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