Riga FC 3-3 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 9 Apr 2026

📅09/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.16
Draw
12%
7.13
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
2%
X/X
3%
2/1
8%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
82%
-0.4pp
12%
Draw
11%
+0.4pp
7%
Away Win
7%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +22%
2.79/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.33
+8% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -16%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
372 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 80%
44.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
31.1 Crosses 11.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
3.00 xG 0.65
66% Ball Possession 34%
25 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
410 Passes 164
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
48 Box Touches 10
35 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.10.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
03.08.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
12.07.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LETK
31.05.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
13.04.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-3 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
27.10.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 10-1 HT 4-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
3-3
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
4.11 xG 1.57
72% Ball Possession 28%
25 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
535 Passes 165
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
57 Box Touches 8
45 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC and FK Tukums 2000 couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Riga FC at 81% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Riga FC had 72% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 28%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 4.11 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Riga FC and 0.17 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000?

Riga FC 3-3 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 81%, draw 12%, FK Tukums 2000 7%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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