St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
St. Mirren v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Mirren 0-3 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Kilmarnock cruised past St. Mirren 3-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was St. Mirren at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.92, about 52%.
By the numbers, possession split 59% to 41% in St. Mirren's favour, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.21 to 1.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for St. Mirren against 1.83 for Kilmarnock.
St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Result & Final Score
St. Mirren 0 - 3 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 47%, draw 28%, Kilmarnock 25%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.