APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 Sydney United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒10:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney United EU Bookmakers 32%
+16% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.87/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.73
+13% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.3 Crosses 17.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sydney United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.11.2025 Sydney United Sydney United 1-2 HT 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVC
17.10.2025 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-0 HT 2-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVC
20.07.2025 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-2 HT 0-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
06.04.2025 Sydney United Sydney United 2-1 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
21.07.2024 Sydney United Sydney United 2-0 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
14.04.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-5 HT 0-4 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers edged past Sydney United 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 2.00 for Sydney United.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 Sydney United in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 45%, draw 27%, Sydney United 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ BTTS Yes
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