Bourg en Bresse 01 1-0 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 32% vs market 28.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.7
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
13%
4.42
X/2
12%
7.3
X/X
12%
4.45
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
8%
5.81
2/X
9%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.33/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.41
-13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Valenciennes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
291 Passes 324
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.01.2026 Valenciennes Valenciennes 3-1 HT 1-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
04.04.2025 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 1-0 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR3
08.11.2024 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-2 HT 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
13.04.2018 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-2 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
17.11.2017 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 1-3 HT 1-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
14.04.2017 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-2 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
1-0
AWAY Valenciennes
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourg en Bresse 01 edged past Valenciennes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bourg en Bresse 01 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Bourg en Bresse 01 had 41% of the ball to Valenciennes's 59%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valenciennes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bourg en Bresse 01 and 1.83 for Valenciennes.

What was the final score of Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Valenciennes?

Bourg en Bresse 01 1-0 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bourg en Bresse 01 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bourg en Bresse 01 48%, draw 26%, Valenciennes 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bourg en Bresse 01), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bourg en Bresse 01) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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