Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 Aubagne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
3.8
6+ Goals
12%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 32% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.16
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
3%
14.95
X/1
15%
4.0
X/2
4%
9.75
X/X
21%
4.63
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
9%
8.4
2/X
7%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.8pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.2pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubagne EU Bookmakers 22%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
2.25/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.03
+39% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +39%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Aubagne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.01.2026 Aubagne Aubagne 1-1 HT 0-1 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
11.04.2025 Aubagne Aubagne 1-1 HT 0-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
22.11.2024 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-0 HT 0-0 Aubagne Aubagne FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
1-1
AWAY Aubagne
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris 13 Atletico and Aubagne shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Paris 13 Atletico at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Paris 13 Atletico had 53% of the ball to Aubagne's 47%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paris 13 Atletico had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paris 13 Atletico and 0.67 for Aubagne.

What was the final score of Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne?

Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 Aubagne in the France - National League 1 on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris 13 Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Paris 13 Atletico 50%, draw 31%, Aubagne 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paris 13 Atletico) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paris 13 Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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