Chateauroux 2-1 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 9 May 2026

Chateauroux
2-1 HT 0-0
Sochaux
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2025/2026

Chateauroux vs Sochaux Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
9.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.37
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.4
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
7%
8.59
X/2
14%
4.43
X/X
12%
5.45
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
30%
2.3
2/X
6%
13.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.4 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
54%
Away Win
53%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chateauroux v Sochaux — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.19/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+7% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +2%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
220 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0

Chateauroux vs Sochaux Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sochaux
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.71 xG 0.62
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
418 Passes 257
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.01.2026 Sochaux Sochaux 1-0 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
18.04.2025 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-0 HT 1-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
06.12.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 2-2 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
22.03.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 0-2 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
11.10.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
13.03.2021 Sochaux Sochaux 0-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2

Chateauroux 2-1 Sochaux — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chateauroux
2-1
AWAY Sochaux
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux nicked a narrow win over Sochaux 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sochaux at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chateauroux had 45% of the ball to Sochaux's 55%, shots finished 9-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chateauroux had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chateauroux and 0.67 for Sochaux.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Sochaux?

Chateauroux 2-1 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 23%, draw 23%, Sochaux 54%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sochaux) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sochaux) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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