FA Siauliai 1-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 52%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.34/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.21
+20% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2026 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
14.09.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
05.07.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 5-2 HT 1-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
02.05.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-3 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
15.03.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
01.09.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-1 HT 3-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
1-1
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai and Hegelmann Litauen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hegelmann Litauen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 55% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 45%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FA Siauliai and 2.00 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

FA Siauliai 1-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 31%, draw 22%, Hegelmann Litauen 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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