Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-2 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
54%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
14.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
27%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
53%
Away Win
47%
+6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 50%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.17/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.10
-10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.4 Crosses 17.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Torreense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.19 xG 3.15
46% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
169 Passes 434
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2025 Torreense Torreense 0-1 HT 0-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR2
23.11.2025 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 0-1 HT 0-0 Torreense Torreense POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
1-2
AWAY Torreense
1.19 xG 2.42
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
119 Passes 383
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense edged past Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torreense as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 36% of the ball to Torreense's 64%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 1.19 to 2.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Torreense's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lusitania FC Lourosa and 0.50 for Torreense.

What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Torreense?

Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-2 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 21%, draw 25%, Torreense 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torreense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torreense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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