Montevideo Wanderers vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montevideo Wanderers v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals
Montevideo Wanderers vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics
Montevideo Wanderers squeezed past Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 46% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 54%, shots finished 8-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.67 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).
What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 29%, draw 28%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), BTTS Yes went the other way.