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Taffs Well vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Taffs Well v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Taffs Well vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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Caerau (Ely) cruised past Taffs Well 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Caerau (Ely) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Taffs Well and 1.50 for Caerau (Ely).
What was the final score of Taffs Well vs Caerau (Ely)?
Taffs Well 0-3 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Taffs Well vs Caerau (Ely)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Taffs Well 24%, draw 27%, Caerau (Ely) 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.