Cardiff MU 2-2 Caernarfon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.95
Over
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.43
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
23%
3.17
6+
6%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Cardiff MU The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Caernarfon Town The Market 42%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.42 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.66
1.20 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.30
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Bad
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Caernarfon Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
19.04.2025 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
08.03.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 4-2 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
05.10.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-2 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
31.08.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-2 HT 1-2 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
10.05.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
REVIEW Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

A draw from a 33% / 28% / 39% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Cardiff MU against 1.50 for Caernarfon Town.

Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town Result & Final Score

Cardiff MU 2 - 2 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 33%, draw 28%, Caernarfon Town 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caernarfon Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caernarfon Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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