Istra 1961 2-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.53
6+ Goals
11%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-4.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 20%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.12/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.58
+9% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
15.3 Crosses 18.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.99 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 295
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
04.03.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 3-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIRK
28.02.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 3-2 HT 3-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
01.12.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 HT 0-2 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
14.09.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
29.03.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
2-2
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.33 xG 1.14
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
311 Passes 197
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 and Lokomotiva Zagreb couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Istra 1961 at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 57% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 43%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.33 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Istra 1961 and 0.83 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Istra 1961 2-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 53%, draw 22%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Istra 1961) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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