Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
0-2
HT 0-2
Botafogo
BR1
Botafogo and Fluminense shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Brazil - Serie A on 9 Aug 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.23 to 0.94.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botafogo and 0.50 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Fluminense?
Botafogo 1-1 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 46%, draw 27%, Fluminense 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Botafogo) went the other way.