Coritiba vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Coritiba v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals
Coritiba vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Coritiba
BR1
Coritiba 2-1 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics
Coritiba nicked a narrow win over Chapecoense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Coritiba as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.27 to 0.38.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Coritiba and 1.33 for Chapecoense.
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Chapecoense?
Coritiba 2-1 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie A on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Chapecoense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 53%, draw 26%, Chapecoense 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coritiba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.