Chapecoense vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chapecoense v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals
Chapecoense vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Coritiba
BR1
2-0
HT 2-0
Chapecoense
BR1
Chapecoense 3-3 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics
Chapecoense and Coritiba couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chapecoense had 51% of the ball to Coritiba's 49%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.40 to 2.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coritiba led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chapecoense and 1.17 for Coritiba.
What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Coritiba?
Chapecoense 3-3 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Coritiba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 39%, draw 25%, Coritiba 36%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.